Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chippewas @ Braves CMU @ BRAD

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

1-0  |  Road

54
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 8:00 PM ET
Carver Arena
View Odds Details →

BRADLEY

BRAVESBRAD

0-1  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
📊
BRAVES
0%
CHIPPEWAS --
BRAVES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Bradley)
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 BravesBRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

21.2%

Braves Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)

CMU By 1-7 points

13.7%

CMU By 8-14 points

4.8%

BRAD By 1-7 points

25.3%

BRAD By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
68
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
76
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
65
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
78
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Braves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Braves Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Braves (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 CMU @ BRAD 54 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +17.2% more
Central Michigan: 37.7 vs Bradley: 31.2
Turnovers (L5) +13.2% more
Central Michigan: 12.1 vs Bradley: 10.5
Free Throw % (L5) +8.8%
Central Michigan: 76.8% vs Bradley: 68.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.6%
Central Michigan: 38.7% vs Bradley: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 68.0 54
BRAD Score 76.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 38.7 38.0 / 15.0
Assists 12.7 / 13.1 16.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.7 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 47.9 52.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 68.0 / 76.8 68.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 37.7 39.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.6 / 5.9 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 12.1 10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
BRAD Advantage
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
BRAD
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4% Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
CMU
BRAD
CMU
ML
65% 22-12
57% 17-13
68% 23-11
70% 21-9
ATS
59% 20-14
67% 20-10
68% 23-11
70% 21-9
TTL
68% 23-11
67% 20-10
100% 34-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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