Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Cougars HC @ BYU

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

0-1  |  Road

53
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 9:00 PM ET
Marriott Center
View Odds Details →

BYU

COUGARSBYU

1-0  |  Home

98
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
CRUSADERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (BYU)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 CougarsBYU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

2.3%

Cougars Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BYU -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)

HC By 1-7 points

1.7%

HC By 8-14 points

0.3%

BYU By 1-7 points

8.0%

BYU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
77
HOLY CROSS
97
BYU
Simulated Score
58
HOLY CROSS
85
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 HC @ BYU 53 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +23.4% more
BYU: 6.3 vs Holy Cross: 5.1
Free Throw % (L5) +23.0%
BYU: 77.3% vs Holy Cross: 54.3%
Assists (L5) +18.3% more
BYU: 15.2 vs Holy Cross: 12.8
Rebounding (L5) +14.2% more
BYU: 39.7 vs Holy Cross: 34.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 77.0 53
BYU Score 97.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 39.9 28.0 / 14.0
Assists 15.2 / 12.8 20.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.7 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 44.7 62.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 77.3 / 54.3 81.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 39.7 / 34.8 36.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.3 / 5.1 12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 13.3 6.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BYU Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
HC
BYU
HC
ML
60% 21-14
52% 16-15
72% 23-9
61% 19-12
ATS
54% 19-16
55% 17-14
72% 23-9
64% 21-12
TTL
69% 24-11
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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