BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
9-7-0 | Road
5
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
8-5-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 3.00 | 0.909 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 9.72 | 0.789 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
9.72
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.789
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
BRUINS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
TOR By 1 goal
19.7%
TOR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
TOR @ BOS
4 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BOS
3 - 5
Nov 8, 2025
BOS @ TOR
5 - 3
Feb 25, 2025
TOR @ BOS
5 - 4
Jan 4, 2025
BOS @ TOR
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.1%
Toronto: 55.2%
vs
Boston: 51.1%
Power Play % (L5)
+10.9%
Boston: 14.0%
vs
Toronto: 3.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
5
TOR Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.1 / 14.9
10.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
55.2 / 51.1
48.4 / 51.6
Hits
22.7 / 21.7
26.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
3.1 / 14.0
50.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
24.4 / 24.9
33.0 / 39.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.4
6.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
BOS
TOR
BOS
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
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