COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
8-1-5 | Road
9
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
6-5-4 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Scott Wedgewood
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | None-None | 1.00 | 0.958 | -- |
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00
GAA
--
0.958
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
0%
OILERS
100%
AVALANCHE
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
COL By 1 goal
12.1%
COL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
EDM By 1 goal
2.8%
EDM By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
5
COLORADO
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Colorado
3
COLORADO
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Avalanche (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 13, 2026
COL @ EDM
2 - 1
Mar 10, 2026
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Nov 8, 2025
COL @ EDM
9 - 1
Feb 7, 2025
COL @ EDM
5 - 4
Jan 16, 2025
EDM @ COL
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.8% more
Colorado: 33.9
vs
Edmonton: 27.9
Power Play % (L5)
+36.5%
Edmonton: 52.1%
vs
Colorado: 15.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+28.9% more
Edmonton: 6.7
vs
Colorado: 5.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.7%
Edmonton: 54.3%
vs
Colorado: 49.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
5.0
9
EDM Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 15.4
16.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
54.3 / 49.7
54.8 / 45.2
Hits
17.7 / 16.6
13.0 / 7.0
Power Play %
52.1 / 15.5
20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.9 / 33.9
24.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
6.7 / 5.2
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
COL
EDM
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
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