Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Ragin' Cajuns SELA @ UL

SE LOUISIANA

LIONSSELA

0-1  |  Road

52
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 8:30 PM ET
Cajundome
View Odds Details →

LOUISIANA

RAGIN' CAJUNSUL

0-1  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
RAGIN' CAJUNS
0%
LIONS --
RAGIN' CAJUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Louisiana)
LionsSELA (-3.5) 0 Ragin' CajunsUL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

46.0%

Ragin' Cajuns Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UL)

SELA By 1-7 points

24.3%

SELA By 8-14 points

13.7%

UL By 1-7 points

26.2%

UL By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
59
SE LOUISIANA
60
LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
72
SE LOUISIANA
78
LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ragin' Cajuns Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ragin' Cajuns (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Ragin' Cajuns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u136.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 SELA @ UL 52 - 58
Dec 11, 2024 SELA @ UL 61 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +192.1% more
Louisiana: 3.7 vs SE Louisiana: 1.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Louisiana: 27.8% vs SE Louisiana: 25.2%
Rebounding (L5) +13.1% more
SE Louisiana: 32.6 vs Louisiana: 28.3
Assists (L5) +12.8% more
SE Louisiana: 11.6 vs Louisiana: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SELA Score 59.0 52
UL Score 60.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 25.2 36.0 / 21.0
Assists 10.1 / 11.6 8.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.3 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.2 / 38.4 52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 61.0 / 69.8 58.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 28.3 / 32.6 31.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.4 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.4 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
UL Advantage
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
UL
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -1.4
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UL
SELA
UL
SELA
ML
66% 21-11
70% 21-9
63% 19-11
66% 19-10
ATS
66% 21-11
60% 18-12
63% 19-11
67% 20-10
TTL
62% 20-12
70% 21-9
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 2 hours, 12 minutes ago
Shockers Stumble in Charity Exhibition Against Murray State, 93-…
thesunflower 2 hours, 19 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 2 hours, 24 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 8 hours, 26 minutes ago
Rutgers Men's Basketball Releases Full 2026-27 Schedule with TV …
yahoo 1 day, 2 hours ago