NICHOLLS
COLONELSNICH
0-1 | Road
57
EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
0-1 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
COLONELS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EIU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)
NICH By 1-7 points
24.3%
NICH By 8-14 points
13.7%
EIU By 1-7 points
26.2%
EIU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Nicholls
67
NICHOLLS
Eastern Illinois
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Nicholls
71
NICHOLLS
Eastern Illinois
76
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
NICH @ EIU
57 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.6% more
Eastern Illinois: 3.2
vs
Nicholls: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+24.9% more
Eastern Illinois: 15.4
vs
Nicholls: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
Eastern Illinois: 80.2%
vs
Nicholls: 67.2%
Steals (L5)
+8.8% more
Eastern Illinois: 9.4
vs
Nicholls: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NICH Score
67.0
57
EIU Score
68.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.7 / 28.7
28.0 / 15.0
Assists
8.2 / 10.3
16.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.2
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.0 / 35.8
37.0 / 30.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 67.2
76.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 35.6
43.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.4 / 8.6
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 12.4
16.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -2.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.4
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
NICH
EIU
NICH
ML
56%
18-14
53%
17-15
74%
23-8
68%
19-9
ATS
50%
16-16
47%
15-17
74%
23-8
68%
19-9
TTL
69%
22-10
56%
18-14
100%
31-0
100%
28-0
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