MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
1-0 | Road
67
SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
1-0 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
BRONCOS
100%
COWBOYS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
SANTA CLARA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SCU +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCU)
MCN By 1-7 points
27.4%
MCN By 8-14 points
21.6%
SCU By 1-7 points
20.1%
SCU By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
McNeese
82
MCNEESE
Santa Clara
78
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
McNeese
71
MCNEESE
Santa Clara
78
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Broncos (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
MCN @ SCU
67 - 79
Dec 3, 2024
SCU @ MCN
74 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.7% more
McNeese: 4.8
vs
Santa Clara: 3.5
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
McNeese: 10.5
vs
Santa Clara: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
McNeese: 64.4%
vs
Santa Clara: 61.7%
Assists (L5)
+22.8% more
Santa Clara: 21.7
vs
McNeese: 17.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MCN Score
82.0
67
SCU Score
78.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 31.9
39.0 / 25.0
Assists
21.7 / 17.6
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.8
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 48.3
39.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
61.7 / 64.4
60.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
41.8 / 41.3
47.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.4 / 10.5
5.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 8.9
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
SCU
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
SCU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
MCN
SCU
MCN
ML
44%
15-19
67%
22-11
73%
22-8
88%
28-4
ATS
53%
18-16
76%
25-8
74%
23-8
88%
28-4
TTL
47%
16-18
42%
14-19
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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