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SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

1-0  |  Road

77
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 1:30 PM ET
UTSA Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

UTSA

ROADRUNNERSUTSA

1-0  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
ROADRUNNERS
100%
COUGARS --
ROADRUNNERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
CougarsSIUE (-3.5) 0 RoadrunnersUTSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

88.5%

Roadrunners Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIUE -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)

SIUE By 1-7 points

20.1%

SIUE By 8-14 points

27.2%

UTSA By 1-7 points

8.0%

UTSA By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
75
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
63
UTSA
Simulated Score
65
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
72
UTSA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Roadrunners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cougars (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Roadrunners (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 SIUE @ UTSA 77 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.6% more
SIU Edwardsville: 13.6 vs UTSA: 9.6
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
SIU Edwardsville: 66.6% vs UTSA: 64.3%
Blocks (L5) +44.2% more
UTSA: 5.8 vs SIU Edwardsville: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
UTSA: 37.1% vs SIU Edwardsville: 28.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score 75.0 77
UTSA Score 63.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.1 / 28.3 24.0 / 43.0
Assists 15.5 / 15.9 9.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.8 / 4.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.7 / 46.1 28.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 64.3 / 66.6 62.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 41.9 / 40.9 41.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.7 / 9.9 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 13.6 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
50%MONEY50%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
UTSA
5-25-0 (16.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
UTSA
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: -11.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
UTSA
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTSA
SIUE
UTSA
SIUE
ML
83% 24-5
65% 20-11
48% 14-15
60% 18-12
ATS
72% 21-8
55% 17-14
50% 15-15
60% 18-12
TTL
66% 19-10
48% 15-16
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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