CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
1-0 | Road
75
LIBERTY
FLAMESLIB
1-0 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
FLAMES
0%
COUGARS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LIBERTY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Liberty)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIB)
COFC By 1-7 points
24.3%
COFC By 8-14 points
13.7%
LIB By 1-7 points
26.2%
LIB By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston
69
CHARLESTON
Liberty
70
LIBERTY
Simulated Score
Charleston
68
CHARLESTON
Liberty
72
LIBERTY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
COFC @ LIB
75 - 90
Nov 17, 2024
LIB @ COFC
68 - 47
Dec 1, 2023
COFC @ LIB
76 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+96.1% more
Liberty: 4.5
vs
Charleston: 2.3
Assists (L5)
+32.6% more
Liberty: 19.2
vs
Charleston: 14.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.6%
Liberty: 42.4%
vs
Charleston: 26.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.0%
Liberty: 51.9%
vs
Charleston: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COFC Score
69.0
75
LIB Score
70.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.4 / 26.9
48.0 / 45.0
Assists
19.2 / 14.5
17.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.5 / 2.3
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.9 / 43.0
54.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
60.4 / 64.8
71.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 41.5
31.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.7
5.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 9.3
5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LIB
Advantage
26-8-0
(76.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
LIB
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
LIB
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIB
COFC
LIB
COFC
ML
50%
17-17
66%
19-10
53%
18-16
62%
18-11
ATS
62%
21-13
59%
17-12
53%
18-16
62%
18-11
TTL
41%
14-20
68%
19-9-1
100%
34-0
100%
29-0
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