BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
1-0 | Road
52
NORTHWESTERN
WILDCATSNU
1-0 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
TERRIERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Northwestern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)
BU By 1-7 points
15.3%
BU By 8-14 points
5.8%
NU By 1-7 points
26.2%
NU By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
58
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Northwestern
65
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
Boston University
62
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Northwestern
81
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
BU @ NU
52 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+29.5% more
Northwestern: 13.7
vs
Boston University: 10.5
Rebounding (L5)
+10.9% more
Northwestern: 38.2
vs
Boston University: 34.5
Steals (L5)
+27.9% more
Boston University: 7.5
vs
Northwestern: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+17.8% more
Boston University: 14.3
vs
Northwestern: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
58.0
52
NU Score
65.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.9 / 32.5
37.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.7 / 10.5
20.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.7
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.2 / 45.5
52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 72.3
54.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 34.5
36.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.4 / 7.5
7.0 / 0.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 14.3
5.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
NU
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
NU
16-16-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
BU
NU
BU
ML
47%
16-18
68%
23-11
68%
23-11
62%
21-13
ATS
50%
17-17
62%
21-13
68%
23-11
62%
21-13
TTL
53%
18-16
65%
22-12
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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