Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Demon Deacons MORE @ WAKE

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

1-1  |  Road

65
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
LJVM Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

2-0  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
DEMON DEACONS
0%
EAGLES --
DEMON DEACONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
87.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Wake Forest)
EaglesMORE (-3.5) 0 Demon DeaconsWAKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

13.6%

Demon Deacons Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAKE -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)

MORE By 1-7 points

9.3%

MORE By 8-14 points

2.7%

WAKE By 1-7 points

21.6%

WAKE By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
38
MOREHEAD STATE
49
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
68
MOREHEAD STATE
82
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Demon Deacons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Demon Deacons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 87.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 MORE @ WAKE 65 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +111.2% more
Wake Forest: 10.0 vs Morehead State: 4.7
Blocks (L5) +108.8% more
Wake Forest: 4.5 vs Morehead State: 2.2
Rebounding (L5) +10.8% more
Wake Forest: 36.4 vs Morehead State: 32.8
Free Throw % (L5) +10.0%
Wake Forest: 77.5% vs Morehead State: 67.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MORE Score 38.0 65
WAKE Score 49.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.0 / 39.8 29.0 / 23.0
Assists 13.0 / 13.7 15.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.5 / 2.2 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 45.6 40.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 77.5 / 67.4 60.0 / 82.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 32.8 53.0 / 34.0
Steals 10.0 / 4.7 11.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 9.9 19.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORE Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
MORE
WAKE
MORE
ML
49% 17-18
62% 20-12
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
ATS
66% 23-12
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
TTL
60% 21-14
53% 17-15
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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