AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
BEARS
0%
SAINTS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Brown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
SIE By 1-7 points
12.2%
SIE By 8-14 points
4.0%
BRWN By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRWN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Siena
66
SIENA
Brown
75
BROWN
Simulated Score
Siena
68
SIENA
Brown
72
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
SIE @ BRWN
62 - 46
Nov 4, 2024
BRWN @ SIE
71 - 72
Dec 22, 2023
SIE @ BRWN
67 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.3% more
Brown: 11.4
vs
Siena: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+15.4% more
Brown: 5.6
vs
Siena: 4.9
Rebounding (L5)
+12.0% more
Brown: 38.0
vs
Siena: 33.9
Steals (L5)
+22.6% more
Siena: 7.7
vs
Brown: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SIE Score
66.0
62
BRWN Score
75.0
46
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.0 / 29.1
17.0 / 7.0
Assists
12.9 / 15.1
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.9
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 43.5
29.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
57.1 / 77.7
80.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 33.9
36.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.9 / 7.7
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 8.6
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
BRWN
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
SIE
BRWN
SIE
ML
56%
15-12
66%
23-12
67%
18-9
48%
16-17
ATS
59%
16-11
66%
23-12
67%
18-9
48%
16-17
TTL
59%
16-11
54%
19-16
100%
27-0
100%
33-0