SIENA

SAINTSSIE

1-0  |  Road

62
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Pizzitola Sports Center
View Odds Details →

BROWN

BEARSBRWN

0-0  |  Home

46
AI Model Win Probability
SAINTS
100%
📊
BEARS
0%
SAINTS --
BEARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Brown)
SaintsSIE (-3.5) 0 BearsBRWN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Saints Cover

18.4%

Bears Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)

SIE By 1-7 points

12.2%

SIE By 8-14 points

4.0%

BRWN By 1-7 points

24.3%

BRWN By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
66
SIENA
75
BROWN
Simulated Score
68
SIENA
72
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bears Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bears Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bears (+3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Bears (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 SIE @ BRWN 62 - 46
Nov 4, 2024 BRWN @ SIE 71 - 72
Dec 22, 2023 SIE @ BRWN 67 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.3% more
Brown: 11.4 vs Siena: 8.6
Blocks (L5) +15.4% more
Brown: 5.6 vs Siena: 4.9
Rebounding (L5) +12.0% more
Brown: 38.0 vs Siena: 33.9
Steals (L5) +22.6% more
Siena: 7.7 vs Brown: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIE Score 66.0 62
BRWN Score 75.0 46
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.0 / 29.1 17.0 / 7.0
Assists 12.9 / 15.1 10.0 / 11.0
Blocks 5.6 / 4.9 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 43.5 29.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 57.1 / 77.7 80.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 38.0 / 33.9 36.0 / 45.0
Steals 5.9 / 7.7 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 8.6 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIE Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
BRWN
9-18-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIE Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.3
BRWN
14-12-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6% Total +/-: -1.9
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0% Total +/-: +0.3