AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
49ERS
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLT -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)
TNTC By 1-7 points
16.9%
TNTC By 8-14 points
6.8%
CLT By 1-7 points
26.8%
CLT By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee Tech
70
TENNESSEE TECH
Charlotte
76
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Tennessee Tech
63
TENNESSEE TECH
Charlotte
78
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
49ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
49ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
49ers (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
49ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
TNTC @ CLT
65 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Charlotte: 70.0%
vs
Tennessee Tech: 64.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Charlotte: 36.1%
vs
Tennessee Tech: 34.0%
Blocks (L5)
+37.8% more
Tennessee Tech: 4.6
vs
Charlotte: 2.9
Turnovers (L5)
+28.8% more
Tennessee Tech: 14.2
vs
Charlotte: 10.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score
70.0
65
CLT Score
76.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 34.0
48.0 / 42.0
Assists
11.7 / 16.0
16.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.9 / 4.6
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.9 / 42.9
49.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 64.6
70.0 / 48.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 34.7
31.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.1
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 14.2
19.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLT
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC
14-14-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.4
CLT
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
TNTC
CLT
TNTC
ML
62%
21-13
50%
15-15
67%
22-11
65%
15-8
ATS
68%
23-11
50%
15-15
67%
22-11
65%
15-8
TTL
65%
22-12
57%
17-13
100%
33-0
100%
23-0