AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
0%
GOLDEN FLASHES
100%
BIG RED
--
GOLDEN FLASHES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
COR By 1-7 points
24.3%
COR By 8-14 points
26.8%
KENT By 1-7 points
12.2%
KENT By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
88
CORNELL
Kent State
79
KENT STATE
Simulated Score
Cornell
70
CORNELL
Kent State
74
KENT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Red
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Flashes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Big Red (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Golden Flashes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o164.5
Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u164.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
COR @ KENT
102 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+36.1% more
Cornell: 18.7
vs
Kent State: 11.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+13.0%
Cornell: 53.5%
vs
Kent State: 40.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.2%
Cornell: 81.3%
vs
Kent State: 71.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Cornell: 40.1%
vs
Kent State: 36.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
88.0
102
KENT Score
79.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 40.1
47.0 / 47.0
Assists
11.9 / 18.7
20.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.9 / 3.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.5 / 53.5
54.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
71.1 / 81.3
67.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 34.0
31.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.9 / 4.9
11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 9.9
11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
KENT
Advantage
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
Advantage
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
KENT
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 4.7
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
COR
KENT
COR
ML
53%
18-16
44%
12-15
65%
22-12
63%
17-10
ATS
65%
22-12
59%
16-11
65%
22-12
63%
17-10
TTL
44%
15-19
78%
21-6
100%
34-0
100%
27-0