AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
COUGARS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Davidson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAV -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)
WSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
WSU By 8-14 points
13.7%
DAV By 1-7 points
26.2%
DAV By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington State
81
WASHINGTON STATE
Davidson
82
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
Washington State
69
WASHINGTON STATE
Davidson
72
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 7, 2025
WSU @ DAV
69 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.0% more
Davidson: 8.0
vs
Washington State: 6.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.9%
Davidson: 82.6%
vs
Washington State: 69.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Davidson: 34.2%
vs
Washington State: 30.0%
Turnovers (L5)
+9.6% more
Washington State: 10.1
vs
Davidson: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSU Score
81.0
69
DAV Score
82.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 30.0
50.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.4 / 15.4
18.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.8
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 47.8
57.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
82.6 / 69.7
81.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 33.5
28.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.4
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 10.1
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
WSU
DAV
WSU
ML
64%
21-12
78%
25-7
58%
19-14
69%
20-9
ATS
48%
16-17
78%
25-7
58%
19-14
69%
20-9
TTL
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
100%
33-0
100%
29-0