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TROY

TROJANSTROY

1-0  |  Road

64
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:00 PM ET
Timmons Arena
View Odds Details →

FURMAN

PALADINSFUR

0-1  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
TROJANS
0%
📊
PALADINS
100%
TROJANS --
PALADINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
FURMAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TrojansTROY (-3.5) 0 PaladinsFUR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trojans Cover

46.0%

Paladins Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FUR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FUR)

TROY By 1-7 points

26.2%

TROY By 8-14 points

16.9%

FUR By 1-7 points

24.3%

FUR By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
79
TROY
78
FURMAN
Simulated Score
73
TROY
78
FURMAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trojans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Paladins Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Paladins (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Paladins (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 TROY @ FUR 64 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +48.6% more
Troy: 8.4 vs Furman: 4.3
Blocks (L5) +36.0% more
Troy: 3.6 vs Furman: 2.3
Rebounding (L5) +9.7% more
Troy: 37.6 vs Furman: 33.9
Free Throw % (L5) +3.2%
Troy: 72.6% vs Furman: 69.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TROY Score 79.0 64
FUR Score 78.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.5 / 33.8 38.0 / 30.0
Assists 14.7 / 14.9 13.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.6 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 44.8 39.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 72.6 67.0 / 69.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 37.6 36.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.3 / 8.4 7.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 10.9 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TROY Advantage
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: -1.0
FUR
22-13-0 (62.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TROY Advantage
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: 6.1 ATS +/-: -1.0
FUR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TROY
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +2.8
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FUR
TROY
FUR
TROY
ML
71% 25-10
59% 20-14
62% 21-13
61% 20-13
ATS
63% 22-13
65% 22-12
62% 21-13
61% 20-13
TTL
57% 20-15
56% 19-15
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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