Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Redhawks @ Tigers SEMO @ MIZ

SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE

REDHAWKSSEMO

0-1  |  Road

84
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 8:00 PM ET
Mizzou Arena
View Odds Details →

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

1-0  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
REDHAWKS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Missouri)
RedhawksSEMO (-3.5) 0 TigersMIZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Redhawks Cover

38.2%

Tigers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIZ -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)

SEMO By 1-7 points

21.6%

SEMO By 8-14 points

10.7%

MIZ By 1-7 points

27.2%

MIZ By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
82
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
85
MISSOURI
Simulated Score
62
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
85
MISSOURI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 SEMO @ MIZ 84 - 89
Dec 4, 2022 SEMO @ MIZ 89 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.7% more
Missouri: 13.1 vs Southeast Missouri State: 9.8
Turnovers (L5) +30.8% more
Missouri: 13.9 vs Southeast Missouri State: 10.6
Rebounding (L5) +17.9% more
Missouri: 36.6 vs Southeast Missouri State: 31.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.7%
Missouri: 37.7% vs Southeast Missouri State: 29.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEMO Score 82.0 84
MIZ Score 85.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.7 / 29.0 40.0 / 30.0
Assists 13.1 / 9.8 13.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.3 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 38.8 59.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 73.0 61.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 31.1 30.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.7 / 7.6 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 10.6 19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEMO
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MIZ
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEMO Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -2.4
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIZ
SEMO
MIZ
SEMO
ML
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
50% 15-15
ATS
70% 23-10
67% 22-11
69% 22-10
50% 15-15
TTL
79% 26-7
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
John Calipari Clarifies Stance on Player Compensation After Vira…
sportingnews 5 days, 20 hours ago
Kentucky Appeals Court Ruling Shakes Up Eligibility for Mark Mit…
cbssports 6 days ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
yahoo 1 week, 2 days ago