Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Waves @ Bruins PEPP @ UCLA

PEPPERDINE

WAVESPEPP

1-0  |  Road

63
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 10:30 PM ET
Pauley Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

1-0  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
WAVES
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
WAVES --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
113.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UCLA)
WavesPEPP (-3.5) 0 BruinsUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Waves Cover

46.0%

Bruins Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)

PEPP By 1-7 points

24.3%

PEPP By 8-14 points

13.7%

UCLA By 1-7 points

26.2%

UCLA By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
56
PEPPERDINE
57
UCLA
Simulated Score
64
PEPPERDINE
76
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+29.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 113.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 7, 2025 PEPP @ UCLA 63 - 74
Nov 23, 2022 PEPP @ UCLA 53 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +43.3% more
UCLA: 4.0 vs Pepperdine: 2.8
Steals (L5) +32.3% more
UCLA: 7.4 vs Pepperdine: 5.6
Assists (L5) +8.9% more
UCLA: 17.3 vs Pepperdine: 15.9
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
UCLA: 72.8% vs Pepperdine: 66.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PEPP Score 56.0 63
UCLA Score 57.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.7 / 35.5 24.0 / 28.0
Assists 17.3 / 15.9 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 47.6 48.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 72.8 / 66.8 73.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 34.5 34.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.4 / 5.6 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 10.2 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
27%MONEY73%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PEPP
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -7.3 ATS +/-: -0.6
UCLA Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PEPP
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -7.3 ATS +/-: -0.6
UCLA Advantage
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.4
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
PEPP
UCLA
PEPP
ML
67% 24-12
62% 20-12
76% 25-8
69% 22-10
ATS
61% 22-14
56% 18-14
76% 25-8
69% 22-10
TTL
61% 22-14
50% 16-16
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins: Unbeaten Bruins Invade Autzen as C…
si 2 days, 7 hours ago
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 12 hours ago
How the Bruins Stunned the Rangers with a Late Third-Period Outb…
headtopics 1 week, 1 day ago
UCLA's Dominant Road Win Over Maryland: Four Interceptions and E…
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
UCLA Bruins Dominate Maryland 54-3, Improve to 4-0 Under Bob Che…
si 1 week, 5 days ago