Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pistons @ Nets DET @ BKN

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

6-2  |  Road

125
FINAL
Fri, Nov 7 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

1-7  |  Home

107
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
📊
NETS
100%
PISTONS --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+10.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

15.9%

Nets Cover

84.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

DET By 1-7 points

23.0%

DET By 8-14 points

27.2%

BKN By 1-7 points

10.7%

BKN By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
123
DETROIT
113
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
112
DETROIT
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pistons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nets (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +10.0
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o227.5 Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim u227.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 DET @ BKN 138 - 100
Mar 7, 2026 BKN @ DET 107 - 105
Feb 1, 2026 BKN @ DET 77 - 130
Nov 7, 2025 DET @ BKN 125 - 107
Mar 1, 2025 BKN @ DET 94 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.8% more
Detroit: 5.4 vs Brooklyn: 3.3
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Detroit: 37.8 vs Brooklyn: 33.9
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Detroit: 48.3% vs Brooklyn: 42.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.5%
Detroit: 34.3% vs Brooklyn: 31.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 123.0 125
BKN Score 113.0 107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 34.3 37.0 / 23.0
Assists 19.7 / 19.8 26.0 / 32.0
Blocks 3.3 / 5.4 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 48.3 43.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 58.0 / 51.2 85.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 33.9 / 37.8 30.0 / 46.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.4 5.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 10.1 20.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
81%MONEY19%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
DET
BKN
DET
ML
53% 50-45
55% 64-53
59% 48-34
49% 47-49
ATS
52% 48-44-3
53% 60-54-3
59% 48-34
49% 47-49
TTL
57% 54-41
60% 70-46-1
100% 82-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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