UTAH
JAZZUTAH
3-5 | Road
97
MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
4-4 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
JAZZ
--
TIMBERWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
UTAH By 1-7 points
21.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
27.4%
MIN By 1-7 points
9.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
118
UTAH
Minnesota
107
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Utah
114
UTAH
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Timberwolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Timberwolves (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim
Timberwolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.5
Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
UTAH @ MIN
111 - 147
Jan 20, 2026
MIN @ UTAH
122 - 127
Nov 10, 2025
MIN @ UTAH
120 - 113
Nov 7, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
97 - 137
Apr 13, 2025
UTAH @ MIN
105 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+13.6% more
Utah: 36.6
vs
Minnesota: 31.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.9%
Utah: 66.0%
vs
Minnesota: 62.1%
Blocks (L5)
+26.6% more
Minnesota: 2.3
vs
Utah: 1.8
Assists (L5)
+22.6% more
Minnesota: 24.1
vs
Utah: 19.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
118.0
97
MIN Score
107.0
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.6 / 31.1
47.0 / 23.0
Assists
24.1 / 19.6
32.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.3 / 1.8
10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 44.4
57.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
62.1 / 66.0
74.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
31.6 / 36.6
52.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.0
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
12.4 / 12.3
21.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
UTAH
MIN
UTAH
ML
54%
63-53
60%
96-63
54%
50-43
48%
40-43
ATS
58%
67-49
68%
108-51
54%
50-43
48%
40-43
TTL
63%
72-43-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
93-0
100%
83-0
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