WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
9-4-0 | Road
1
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
5-6-3 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 2.10 | 0.929 | -- |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.10
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.929
Save %
Ldr 0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
SHARKS
100%
JETS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
17.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
37.2%
SJ By 1 goal
6.6%
SJ By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
San Jose
1
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Jets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 16, 2026
SJ @ WPG
6 - 1
Mar 1, 2026
WPG @ SJ
1 - 2
Nov 7, 2025
WPG @ SJ
1 - 2
Feb 24, 2025
SJ @ WPG
1 - 2
Dec 17, 2024
WPG @ SJ
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+18.5% more
Winnipeg: 21.3
vs
San Jose: 17.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.9% more
Winnipeg: 27.8
vs
San Jose: 23.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.4%
Winnipeg: 47.1%
vs
San Jose: 44.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+23.1% more
San Jose: 18.1
vs
Winnipeg: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.0
1
SJ Score
1.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.1 / 14.7
11.0 / 28.0
Faceoff %
44.7 / 47.1
37.5 / 62.5
Hits
17.3 / 21.3
16.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
1724.0 / 1504.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.6 / 27.8
28.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 4.6
1.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
WPG
SJ
WPG
ML
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
