Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Cardinals JKST @ LOU

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

0-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:00 PM ET
KFC Yum! Center
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LOUISVILLE

CARDINALSLOU

1-0  |  Home

106
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
TIGERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LOUISVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Louisville)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 CardinalsLOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

18.4%

Cardinals Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LOU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LOU)

JKST By 1-7 points

12.2%

JKST By 8-14 points

4.0%

LOU By 1-7 points

24.3%

LOU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
67
JACKSON STATE
76
LOUISVILLE
Simulated Score
61
JACKSON STATE
82
LOUISVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 JKST @ LOU 70 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +40.5% more
Louisville: 15.2 vs Jackson State: 10.9
Rebounding (L5) +15.6% more
Louisville: 39.1 vs Jackson State: 33.8
Steals (L5) +9.9% more
Louisville: 7.2 vs Jackson State: 6.6
Field Goal % (L5) +6.1%
Louisville: 47.1% vs Jackson State: 41.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 67.0 70
LOU Score 76.0 106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.6 / 32.6 30.0 / 41.0
Assists 15.2 / 10.9 24.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.4 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 41.0 52.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 76.1 / 73.5 74.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 39.1 / 33.8 49.0 / 29.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.6 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 12.2 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
LOU Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
LOU Advantage
17-18-0 (48.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
LOU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LOU
JKST
LOU
JKST
ML
63% 22-13
77% 24-7
71% 24-10
73% 19-7
ATS
71% 25-10
77% 24-7
71% 24-10
73% 19-7
TTL
63% 22-13
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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