Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Dolphins @ Musketeers LEM @ XAV

LE MOYNE

DOLPHINSLEM

1-0  |  Road

69
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Cintas Center
View Odds Details →

XAVIER

MUSKETEERSXAV

1-0  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
📊
MUSKETEERS
0%
DOLPHINS --
MUSKETEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
XAVIER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Xavier)
DolphinsLEM (-3.5) 0 MusketeersXAV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dolphins Cover

15.9%

Musketeers Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around XAV -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (XAV)

LEM By 1-7 points

10.7%

LEM By 8-14 points

3.3%

XAV By 1-7 points

23.0%

XAV By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
LE MOYNE
88
XAVIER
Simulated Score
61
LE MOYNE
82
XAVIER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Musketeers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Musketeers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Musketeers (+24.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Musketeers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 LEM @ XAV 69 - 74
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Xavier: 37.0% vs Le Moyne: 32.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
Xavier: 74.3% vs Le Moyne: 70.7%
Blocks (L5) +42.6% more
Le Moyne: 2.4 vs Xavier: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +31.7% more
Le Moyne: 12.7 vs Xavier: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LEM Score 78.0 69
XAV Score 88.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 32.3 52.0 / 38.0
Assists 14.2 / 15.6 20.0 / 22.0
Blocks 1.4 / 2.4 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 49.6 42.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 74.3 / 70.7 69.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 33.5 31.0 / 33.0
Steals 8.8 / 9.8 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.7 / 12.7 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
XAV
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM Advantage
16-15-0 (51.6%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: +0.9
XAV
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -2.3 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +1.1
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2% Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
XAV
LEM
XAV
LEM
ML
58% 19-14
68% 21-10
72% 23-9
68% 21-10
ATS
73% 24-9
65% 20-11
72% 23-9
69% 22-10
TTL
39% 13-20
42% 13-18
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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