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GRAMBLING

TIGERSGRAM

1-0  |  Road

62
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Hilton Coliseum
View Odds Details →

IOWA STATE

CYCLONESISU

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102
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
CYCLONES
0%
TIGERS --
CYCLONES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Iowa State)
TigersGRAM (-3.5) 0 CyclonesISU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

38.2%

Cyclones Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)

GRAM By 1-7 points

21.6%

GRAM By 8-14 points

10.7%

ISU By 1-7 points

27.2%

ISU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
64
GRAMBLING
67
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
55
GRAMBLING
82
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cyclones Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cyclones Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cyclones (+33.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Cyclones (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 GRAM @ ISU 62 - 102
Nov 19, 2023 GRAM @ ISU 37 - 92
Nov 21, 2021 GRAM @ ISU 47 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +27.2% more
Iowa State: 15.7 vs Grambling: 12.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.9%
Iowa State: 40.4% vs Grambling: 28.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
Iowa State: 51.6% vs Grambling: 41.2%
Blocks (L5) +70.1% more
Grambling: 6.9 vs Iowa State: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score 64.0 62
ISU Score 67.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.4 / 28.5 39.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.7 / 12.3 19.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.1 / 6.9 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 51.6 / 41.2 55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 80.0 62.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 35.8 / 39.2 43.0 / 25.0
Steals 8.9 / 11.2 14.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 12.3 12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
ISU Advantage
29-8-0 (78.4%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
ISU Advantage
22-14-1 (61.1%)
Margin: 16.4 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
10-21-0
O: 32.3% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -4.0
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
GRAM
ISU
GRAM
ML
57% 21-16
68% 21-10
76% 26-8
68% 17-8
ATS
62% 23-14
61% 19-12
76% 26-8
68% 17-8
TTL
54% 20-17
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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