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CHICAGO STATE

COUGARSCHST

0-1  |  Road

86
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Chaifetz Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

1-0  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
BILLIKENS
0%
COUGARS --
BILLIKENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Saint Louis)
CougarsCHST (-3.5) 0 BillikensSLU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

21.2%

Billikens Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)

CHST By 1-7 points

13.7%

CHST By 8-14 points

4.8%

SLU By 1-7 points

25.3%

SLU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
73
CHICAGO STATE
81
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
58
CHICAGO STATE
82
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Billikens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Billikens Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Billikens (+29.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Billikens (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 CHST @ SLU 86 - 108
Dec 8, 2024 CHST @ SLU 62 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +39.0% more
Saint Louis: 39.9 vs Chicago State: 28.7
Assists (L5) +18.5% more
Saint Louis: 12.3 vs Chicago State: 10.4
Turnovers (L5) +10.3% more
Saint Louis: 13.3 vs Chicago State: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Saint Louis: 49.0% vs Chicago State: 40.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHST Score 73.0 86
SLU Score 81.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 33.4 38.0 / 32.0
Assists 12.3 / 10.4 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.6 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 40.2 53.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 73.3 / 78.6 91.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 28.7 38.0 / 33.0
Steals 5.9 / 7.0 11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 12.1 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
15-15-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
CHST
SLU
CHST
ML
70% 23-10
75% 24-8
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
ATS
73% 24-9
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
TTL
61% 20-13
44% 14-18
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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