TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
1-0 | Road
58
SMU
MUSTANGSSMU
1-0 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
MUSTANGS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
MUSTANGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SMU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (SMU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SMU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SMU)
AMCC By 1-7 points
20.1%
AMCC By 8-14 points
9.3%
SMU By 1-7 points
27.4%
SMU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
65
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
SMU
69
SMU
Simulated Score
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
65
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
SMU
78
SMU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mustangs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mustangs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mustangs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Mustangs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
AMCC @ SMU
58 - 69
Nov 30, 2020
AMCC @ SMU
54 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+17.1% more
SMU: 4.2
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
SMU: 69.8%
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 61.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
SMU: 38.2%
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 34.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 39.3
vs
SMU: 34.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AMCC Score
65.0
58
SMU Score
69.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 34.3
25.0 / 28.0
Assists
15.5 / 15.5
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.6
5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 47.4
36.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 61.8
82.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 39.3
49.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.1 / 8.1
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 11.5
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AMCC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
SMU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
SMU
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
SMU
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SMU
AMCC
SMU
AMCC
ML
59%
20-14
70%
21-9
73%
24-9
67%
18-9
ATS
62%
21-13
67%
20-10
73%
24-9
67%
18-9
TTL
56%
19-15
60%
18-12
100%
33-0
100%
27-0
