Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Warriors @ Tigers MRMK @ AUB

MERRIMACK

WARRIORSMRMK

0-1  |  Road

57
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 8:00 PM ET
Neville Arena
View Odds Details →

AUBURN

TIGERSAUB

1-0  |  Home

95
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
WARRIORS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Auburn)
WarriorsMRMK (-3.5) 0 TigersAUB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warriors Cover

0.1%

Tigers Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AUB -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)

MRMK By 1-7 points

0.1%

MRMK By 8-14 points

0.0%

AUB By 1-7 points

0.6%

AUB By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
56
MERRIMACK
88
AUBURN
Simulated Score
61
MERRIMACK
82
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (-23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 MRMK @ AUB 57 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +35.0% more
Auburn: 38.7 vs Merrimack: 28.7
Turnovers (L5) +30.9% more
Auburn: 11.0 vs Merrimack: 8.4
Assists (L5) +24.8% more
Auburn: 14.1 vs Merrimack: 11.3
Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Auburn: 44.4% vs Merrimack: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MRMK Score 56.0 57
AUB Score 88.0 95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 31.4 25.0 / 25.0
Assists 14.1 / 11.3 14.0 / 7.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.4 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.4 / 38.1 50.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 68.2 / 76.0 73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 38.7 / 28.7 55.0 / 24.0
Steals 8.2 / 10.0 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 8.4 8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
92%MONEY8%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRMK Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 2.1 ATS +/-: +2.8
AUB
22-16-0 (57.9%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRMK Advantage
19-14-1 (57.6%)
Margin: 2.1 ATS +/-: +2.8
AUB
15-23-0 (39.5%)
Margin: 4.2 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MRMK
12-22-0
O: 35.3% / U: 64.7% Total +/-: -3.2
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
MRMK
AUB
MRMK
ML
58% 22-16
47% 16-18
75% 24-8
65% 22-12
ATS
74% 28-10
53% 18-16
75% 24-8
65% 22-12
TTL
53% 20-18
62% 21-13
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 6 hours ago
LSU vs. McNeese: The Deep In-State Ties Behind Saturday's Rare S…
lsureveille 1 week ago
Memphis Basketball's Non-Conference Slate Ranked by Bart Torvik:…
yahoo 1 week, 2 days ago
Warriors Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Poised for Significant Role in 2…
al 1 week, 3 days ago