Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Huskies DEN @ WASH

DENVER

PIONEERSDEN

0-1  |  Road

70
FINAL
Thu, Nov 6 • 10:00 PM ET
Alaska Airlines Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

HUSKIESWASH

1-0  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
📊
HUSKIES
0%
PIONEERS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Washington)
PioneersDEN (-3.5) 0 HuskiesWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

42.1%

Huskies Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)

DEN By 1-7 points

23.0%

DEN By 8-14 points

12.2%

WASH By 1-7 points

26.8%

WASH By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
76
DENVER
78
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
65
DENVER
82
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Huskies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Huskies (+27.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 6, 2025 DEN @ WASH 70 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +77.5% more
Washington: 16.4 vs Denver: 9.2
Rebounding (L5) +10.6% more
Washington: 36.6 vs Denver: 33.1
Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Washington: 44.9% vs Denver: 42.9%
Turnovers (L5) +19.2% more
Denver: 15.0 vs Washington: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEN Score 76.0 70
WASH Score 78.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 36.2 35.0 / 30.0
Assists 16.4 / 9.2 19.0 / 14.0
Blocks 3.2 / 3.1 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 42.9 51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 79.7 73.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.6 / 33.1 37.0 / 31.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.9 11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 15.0 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
2%MONEY98%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN Advantage
17-11-1 (60.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
WASH
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.0
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
DEN
WASH
DEN
ML
45% 15-18
56% 18-14
66% 21-11
59% 19-13
ATS
48% 16-17
66% 21-11
66% 21-11
59% 19-13
TTL
70% 23-10
59% 19-13
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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