ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
4-8-2 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
5-4-4 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 2.01 | 0.875 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00 Ldr
GAA
2.01
1.000 Ldr
Save %
0.875
1 Ldr
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
SABRES
0%
BLUES
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BUFFALO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Buffalo)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BUF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUF)
STL By 1 goal
12.1%
STL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
BUF By 1 goal
19.7%
BUF By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Buffalo
3
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
St. Louis
2
ST. LOUIS
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sabres
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sabres (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 29, 2025
BUF @ STL
4 - 2
Nov 6, 2025
STL @ BUF
3 - 0
Dec 29, 2024
BUF @ STL
4 - 2
Nov 14, 2024
STL @ BUF
3 - 4
Feb 10, 2024
STL @ BUF
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+13.6%
St. Louis: 20.3%
vs
Buffalo: 6.7%
Takeaways (L5)
+11.0% more
St. Louis: 4.5
vs
Buffalo: 4.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.6%
St. Louis: 46.2%
vs
Buffalo: 42.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
2.0
3
BUF Score
3.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.9 / 17.6
12.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
42.6 / 46.2
45.6 / 54.4
Hits
20.0 / 21.6
16.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
673.0 / 2028.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.7 / 27.4
28.0 / 17.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 4.5
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
STL
BUF
STL
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points