RIDER
BRONCSRID
0-1 | Road
53
RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
0-0 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCS
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
BRONCS
--
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
167.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RUTG -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
RID By 1-7 points
12.2%
RID By 8-14 points
4.0%
RUTG By 1-7 points
24.3%
RUTG By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Rider
79
RIDER
Rutgers
88
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Rider
62
RIDER
Rutgers
78
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Scarlet Knights (+18.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Scarlet Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 167.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
RID @ RUTG
53 - 81
Nov 22, 2022
RID @ RUTG
46 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+100.3% more
Rutgers: 7.9
vs
Rider: 4.0
Blocks (L5)
+83.5% more
Rutgers: 4.8
vs
Rider: 2.6
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Rutgers: 13.7
vs
Rider: 11.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Rutgers: 44.3%
vs
Rider: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RID Score
79.0
53
RUTG Score
88.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.9 / 28.5
37.0 / 10.0
Assists
13.7 / 11.8
12.0 / 4.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.6
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 42.2
39.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 70.7
64.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 33.3
47.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.9 / 4.0
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 10.4
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
RUTG
Advantage
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
RID
RUTG
RID
ML
53%
18-16
72%
21-8
70%
23-10
66%
19-10
ATS
68%
23-11
72%
21-8
70%
23-10
66%
19-10
TTL
53%
18-16
62%
18-11
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
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