MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
HAWKSUMES
0-2 | Road
29
GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
2-0 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
HAWKS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
UMES By 1-7 points
24.3%
UMES By 8-14 points
13.7%
UGA By 1-7 points
26.2%
UGA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
38
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Georgia
39
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
59
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Georgia
85
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+34.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
UMES @ UGA
29 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+108.2% more
Georgia: 10.4
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+63.9% more
Georgia: 4.3
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
Georgia: 76.5%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 63.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Georgia: 46.3%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
38.0
29
UGA Score
39.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 35.7
20.0 / 6.0
Assists
11.3 / 14.0
16.0 / 5.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.6
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 40.3
41.0 / 20.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 63.5
83.0 / 46.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 35.3
53.0 / 40.0
Steals
10.4 / 5.0
18.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 14.6
10.0 / 31.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
UMES
UGA
UMES
ML
67%
22-11
66%
21-11
56%
18-14
81%
21-5
ATS
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
56%
18-14
81%
21-5
TTL
64%
21-12
66%
21-11
100%
32-0
100%
26-0
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