AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
HOOSIERS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
HOOSIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IU)
AAMU By 1-7 points
24.3%
AAMU By 8-14 points
13.7%
IU By 1-7 points
26.2%
IU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
67
ALABAMA A&M
Indiana
68
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
56
ALABAMA A&M
Indiana
88
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hoosiers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hoosiers (+30)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Hoosiers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 5, 2025
AAMU @ IU
51 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+25.3% more
Indiana: 17.0
vs
Alabama A&M: 13.6
Blocks (L5)
+8.1% more
Indiana: 3.5
vs
Alabama A&M: 3.2
Turnovers (L5)
+30.2% more
Alabama A&M: 14.5
vs
Indiana: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.7%
Alabama A&M: 74.7%
vs
Indiana: 59.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
67.0
51
IU Score
68.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.8 / 35.1
42.0 / 33.0
Assists
17.0 / 13.6
23.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.2
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
40.4 / 40.2
62.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
59.0 / 74.7
100.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 35.1
42.0 / 19.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.4
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 14.5
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
IU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
IU
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
IU
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IU
AAMU
IU
AAMU
ML
66%
21-11
55%
16-13
71%
22-9
67%
16-8
ATS
53%
17-15
55%
16-13
71%
22-9
67%
16-8
TTL
56%
18-14
66%
19-10
100%
31-0
100%
24-0