Home / NFL Projections NFL / Eagles @ Packers PHI @ GB

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

6-2  |  Road

10
FINAL
Mon, Nov 10 • 8:15 PM ET
Lambeau Field
View Odds Details →

GREEN BAY

PACKERSGB

5-2-1  |  Home

7
Key Game
Dontayvion Wicks
KEY GAME

Dontayvion Wicks

#13 | Wide Receiver
@
Daniel Whelan
KEY GAME

Daniel Whelan

#19 | Punter
Player
Dontayvion Wicks None-None
Daniel Whelan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
PACKERS
0%
EAGLES --
PACKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GREEN BAY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Green Bay)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 PackersGB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

47.2%

Packers Cover

52.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GB)

PHI By 1-6 points

16.1%

PHI By 7-13 points

14.6%

GB By 1-6 points

16.7%

GB By 7-13 points

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
20
PHILADELPHIA
21
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
24
PHILADELPHIA
27
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Packers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Packers Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Packers (+1) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Packers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u45.5 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
D
Sim u45.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 10, 2025 PHI @ GB 10 - 7
Jan 12, 2025 GB @ PHI 10 - 22
Sep 6, 2024 GB @ PHI 29 - 34
Nov 27, 2022 GB @ PHI 33 - 40
Dec 6, 2020 PHI @ GB 16 - 30
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +60.0% more
Green Bay: 1.0 vs Philadelphia: 0.4
Net Passing Yards (L5) +24.0% more
Green Bay: 265.7 vs Philadelphia: 214.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +21.0% more
Green Bay: 0.5 vs Philadelphia: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +13.1% more
Green Bay: 21.1 vs Philadelphia: 18.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 20.0 10
GB Score 21.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.1 / 18.7 18.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards 265.7 / 214.3 157.0 / 183.0
Rushing Yards 109.7 / 140.6 104.0 / 111.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.38 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 375.4 / 354.9 261.0 / 294.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 0.4 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 6.1 / 6.4 4.0 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
GB
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
GB Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -10.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
GB
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
PHI
GB
PHI
ML
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
0% 0-3-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
75% 3-1
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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