Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ 49ers LAR @ SF

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

6-2  |  Road

42
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 4:25 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

6-3  |  Home

26
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Eddy Pineiro
KEY GAME

Eddy Pineiro

#18 | Place kicker
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Eddy Pineiro None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
49ERS
0%
RAMS --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (San Francisco)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 49ersSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

41.5%

49ers Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SF -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

LAR By 1-6 points

15.3%

LAR By 7-13 points

12.9%

SF By 1-6 points

17.0%

SF By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
17
LOS ANGELES
20
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
23
LOS ANGELES
27
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 49ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 49ers (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u49.5 Loss
Proj Total: 37.0
D
Sim u49.5 Win
Proj Total: 50.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 10, 2026 SF @ LAR 27 - 7
Nov 9, 2025 LAR @ SF 42 - 26
Oct 2, 2025 SF @ LAR 26 - 23
Dec 12, 2024 LAR @ SF 12 - 6
Sep 22, 2024 SF @ LAR 24 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +66.0% more
San Francisco: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +16.7% more
Los Angeles: 24.9 vs San Francisco: 20.7
Net Passing Yards (L5) +9.1% more
Los Angeles: 246.2 vs San Francisco: 223.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 17.0 42
SF Score 20.0 26
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.7 / 24.9 24.0 / 31.0
Net Passing Yards 223.8 / 246.2 319.0 / 275.0
Rushing Yards 112.5 / 118.9 74.0 / 126.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.56
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 336.3 / 365.1 393.0 / 401.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.5 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.4 / 5.5 6.6 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
LAR
SF
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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