MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
4-3 | Road
114
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
4-3 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
100%
KNICKS
0%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
MIN By 1-7 points
13.7%
MIN By 8-14 points
4.8%
NY By 1-7 points
25.3%
NY By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
106
MINNESOTA
New York
114
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Minnesota
108
MINNESOTA
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (-3)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.0
Loss
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Sim
u227.0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 23, 2025
NY @ MIN
104 - 115
Nov 5, 2025
MIN @ NY
114 - 137
Oct 9, 2025
MIN @ NY
95 - 100
Jan 17, 2025
MIN @ NY
116 - 99
Dec 19, 2024
NY @ MIN
133 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.2% more
New York: 6.6
vs
Minnesota: 4.8
Blocks (L5)
+18.5% more
New York: 3.0
vs
Minnesota: 2.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.4%
New York: 59.5%
vs
Minnesota: 49.1%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.4% more
Minnesota: 10.1
vs
New York: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
106.0
114
NY Score
114.0
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.4 / 44.9
45.0 / 47.0
Assists
20.5 / 21.1
32.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.0 / 2.5
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 52.1
54.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
59.5 / 49.1
89.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 31.9
50.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.6 / 4.8
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 10.1
14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
MIN
NY
MIN
ML
61%
114-72
54%
63-53
56%
57-45
54%
50-43
ATS
67%
124-62
58%
67-49
56%
57-45
54%
50-43
TTL
72%
133-53
63%
72-43-1
100%
102-0
100%
93-0
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