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ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

0-0  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Tucker Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA STATE

SEMINOLESFSU

0-0  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
100%
📊
SEMINOLES
0%
BRAVES --
SEMINOLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida State)
BravesALCN (-3.5) 0 SeminolesFSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

46.0%

Seminoles Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FSU)

ALCN By 1-7 points

24.3%

ALCN By 8-14 points

13.7%

FSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

FSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
61
ALCORN STATE
62
FLORIDA STATE
Simulated Score
58
ALCORN STATE
82
FLORIDA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Seminoles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Seminoles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Seminoles (+27.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Seminoles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Loss
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 ALCN @ FSU 76 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +70.8% more
Florida State: 4.0 vs Alcorn State: 2.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Florida State: 28.2% vs Alcorn State: 24.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Alcorn State: 44.6% vs Florida State: 43.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score 61.0 76
FSU Score 62.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.2 / 24.6 43.0 / 50.0
Assists 10.2 / 10.6 24.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.3 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 44.6 56.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 70.6 68.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 32.5 / 34.8 36.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.4 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 11.2 8.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
FSU Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
FSU Advantage
19-13-1 (59.4%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
FSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5% Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FSU
ALCN
FSU
ALCN
ML
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
59% 19-13
75% 18-6
ATS
55% 18-15
68% 21-10-1
59% 19-13
75% 18-6
TTL
48% 16-17
47% 15-17
100% 32-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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