AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
RED RAIDERS
0%
LIONS
--
RED RAIDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
TEXAS TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Texas Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TTU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TTU)
LIN By 1-7 points
16.9%
LIN By 8-14 points
6.8%
TTU By 1-7 points
26.8%
TTU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Lindenwood
69
LINDENWOOD
Texas Tech
75
TEXAS TECH
Simulated Score
Lindenwood
58
LINDENWOOD
Texas Tech
85
TEXAS TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Red Raiders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 4, 2025
LIN @ TTU
60 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+40.3% more
Texas Tech: 13.3
vs
Lindenwood: 9.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Texas Tech: 30.1%
vs
Lindenwood: 22.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Texas Tech: 43.8%
vs
Lindenwood: 38.5%
Steals (L5)
+44.6% more
Lindenwood: 8.1
vs
Texas Tech: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIN Score
69.0
60
TTU Score
75.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.1 / 22.2
38.0 / 24.0
Assists
13.3 / 9.5
20.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 38.5
40.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 68.7
65.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 38.3
59.0 / 43.0
Steals
4.5 / 8.1
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
6.9 / 11.1
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
TTU
Advantage
23-11-0
(67.7%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
TTU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
TTU
15-19-0
O: 44.1% / U: 55.9%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TTU
LIN
TTU
LIN
ML
62%
21-13
47%
15-17
71%
22-9
61%
19-12
ATS
65%
22-12
34%
11-21
71%
22-9
61%
19-12
TTL
59%
20-14
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
31-0