Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Wolf Pack LT @ NEV

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

0-1  |  Road

50
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Lawlor Events Center
View Odds Details →

NEVADA

WOLF PACKNEV

1-0  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
WOLF PACK
0%
BULLDOGS --
WOLF PACK --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEVADA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Nevada)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 Wolf PackNEV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

21.2%

Wolf Pack Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEV -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEV)

LT By 1-7 points

13.7%

LT By 8-14 points

4.8%

NEV By 1-7 points

25.3%

NEV By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
49
LOUISIANA TECH
57
NEVADA
Simulated Score
72
LOUISIANA TECH
78
NEVADA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolf Pack Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolf Pack Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolf Pack (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Wolf Pack (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 LT @ NEV 50 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +35.0% more
Nevada: 5.0 vs Louisiana Tech: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
Nevada: 76.0% vs Louisiana Tech: 70.2%
Turnovers (L5) +33.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 11.8 vs Nevada: 7.8
Steals (L5) +24.1% more
Louisiana Tech: 6.3 vs Nevada: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 49.0 50
NEV Score 57.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 22.9 / 33.2 30.0 / 14.0
Assists 12.2 / 11.8 16.0 / 10.0
Blocks 5.0 / 3.7 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 42.1 / 43.5 45.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 76.0 / 70.2 75.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 33.1 / 38.4 45.0 / 26.0
Steals 4.8 / 6.3 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 11.8 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
NEV Advantage
24-13-0 (64.9%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
NEV Advantage
22-15-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
NEV
21-16-0
O: 56.8% / U: 43.2% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEV
LT
NEV
LT
ML
62% 23-14
58% 19-14
73% 27-10
72% 23-9
ATS
73% 27-10
61% 20-13
73% 27-10
72% 23-9
TTL
49% 18-19
61% 20-13
100% 37-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 12 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 24 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 9 minutes ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 7 hours ago