Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vikings @ Cardinal PRST @ STAN

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

0-1  |  Road

79
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 10:00 PM ET
Maples Pavilion
View Odds Details →

STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

1-0  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
📊
CARDINAL
0%
VIKINGS --
CARDINAL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
77.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Stanford)
VikingsPRST (-3.5) 0 CardinalSTAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vikings Cover

46.0%

Cardinal Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around STAN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)

PRST By 1-7 points

24.3%

PRST By 8-14 points

13.7%

STAN By 1-7 points

26.2%

STAN By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
38
PORTLAND STATE
39
STANFORD
Simulated Score
62
PORTLAND STATE
78
STANFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinal Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinal Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinal (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cardinal (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.0 Loss
Proj Total: 77.0
D
Sim u145.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 PRST @ STAN 79 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +83.3% more
Stanford: 5.5 vs Portland State: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5) +21.6%
Stanford: 80.0% vs Portland State: 58.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
Stanford: 37.0% vs Portland State: 29.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Stanford: 44.8% vs Portland State: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRST Score 38.0 79
STAN Score 39.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 29.5 35.0 / 48.0
Assists 13.4 / 14.2 9.0 / 16.0
Blocks 5.5 / 3.0 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 41.8 47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 80.0 / 58.4 81.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 33.6 / 36.7 36.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.3 / 6.5 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 11.7 17.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
STAN
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
STAN
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STAN
PRST
STAN
PRST
ML
48% 16-17
65% 20-11
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
ATS
48% 16-17
71% 22-9
50% 16-16
71% 22-9
TTL
55% 18-15
47% 14-16-1
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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