PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
6-5-1 | Road
5
MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
9-3-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 3.70 | 0.800 | -- |
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 3.69 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.70
GAA
Ldr 3.69
0.800
Save %
Ldr 0.905
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
0%
CANADIENS
100%
FLYERS
--
CANADIENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Canadiens
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Canadiens (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Canadiens (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 14, 2026
MTL @ PHI
2 - 4
Dec 16, 2025
PHI @ MTL
4 - 1
Nov 4, 2025
PHI @ MTL
5 - 4
Apr 5, 2025
PHI @ MTL
2 - 3
Mar 27, 2025
MTL @ PHI
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+22.5%
Montreal: 47.4%
vs
Philadelphia: 24.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.0% more
Montreal: 17.9
vs
Philadelphia: 15.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.2%
Montreal: 50.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
3.0
5
MTL Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.9 / 15.6
15.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
50.6 / 47.4
65.5 / 34.5
Hits
20.7 / 20.6
26.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
47.4 / 24.9
50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
25.3 / 24.1
20.0 / 42.0
Takeaways
3.3 / 3.3
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
PHI
MTL
PHI
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
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