MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
5-2 | Road
100
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
3-4 | Home
128
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
RAPTORS
100%
BUCKS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
26.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
25.3%
TOR By 1-7 points
15.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
123
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
116
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
110
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
121
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o237.5
Loss
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Sim
u237.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
TOR @ MIL
122 - 94
Dec 18, 2025
TOR @ MIL
111 - 105
Nov 4, 2025
MIL @ TOR
100 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
MIL @ TOR
122 - 116
Jan 17, 2025
TOR @ MIL
112 - 130
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+28.7% more
Milwaukee: 10.5
vs
Toronto: 7.5
Steals (L5)
+28.3% more
Milwaukee: 4.2
vs
Toronto: 3.0
Rebounding (L5)
+21.0% more
Milwaukee: 28.6
vs
Toronto: 22.6
Assists (L5)
+20.2% more
Milwaukee: 18.1
vs
Toronto: 14.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
123.0
100
TOR Score
116.0
128
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.3 / 42.7
45.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.5 / 18.1
33.0 / 26.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.7
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
53.6 / 51.8
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
36.8 / 43.1
79.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
22.6 / 28.6
50.0 / 41.0
Steals
3.0 / 4.2
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
7.5 / 10.5
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
MIL
TOR
MIL
ML
55%
57-47
64%
61-35
55%
48-39
60%
49-32
ATS
61%
62-40-2
68%
65-31
55%
48-39
60%
49-32
TTL
60%
62-42
55%
53-43
100%
87-0
100%
81-0
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