Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Bison MIZ @ HOW

MISSOURI

TIGERSMIZ

0-0  |  Road

88
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

0-0  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
BISON
100%
TIGERS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Missouri)
TigersMIZ (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

54.0%

Bison Cover

46.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIZ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)

MIZ By 1-7 points

26.2%

MIZ By 8-14 points

16.9%

HOW By 1-7 points

24.3%

HOW By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
76
MISSOURI
75
HOWARD
Simulated Score
65
MISSOURI
78
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 MIZ @ HOW 88 - 67
Nov 8, 2024 HOW @ MIZ 62 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.1% more
Missouri: 7.0 vs Howard: 5.3
Free Throw % (L5) +2.4%
Missouri: 77.2% vs Howard: 74.8%
Blocks (L5) +273.4% more
Howard: 5.3 vs Missouri: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +21.7% more
Howard: 15.6 vs Missouri: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIZ Score 76.0 88
HOW Score 75.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.5 / 30.1 41.0 / 53.0
Assists 12.9 / 11.6 17.0 / 16.0
Blocks 5.3 / 1.4 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 42.3 35.0 / 56.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 77.2 69.0 / 48.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 31.4 28.0 / 47.0
Steals 5.3 / 7.0 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.6 / 12.8 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIZ
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIZ
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 3.8 ATS +/-: -2.3
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.3
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
MIZ
HOW
MIZ
ML
59% 20-14
61% 20-13
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
ATS
59% 20-14
70% 23-10
71% 22-9
69% 22-10
TTL
62% 21-13
79% 26-7
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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