Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Leathernecks @ Highlanders WIU @ RAD

WESTERN ILLINOIS

LEATHERNECKSWIU

0-0  |  Road

75
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
The Dedmon Center
View Odds Details →

RADFORD

HIGHLANDERSRAD

0-0  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
LEATHERNECKS
100%
📊
HIGHLANDERS
0%
LEATHERNECKS --
HIGHLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Radford)
LeathernecksWIU (-3.5) 0 HighlandersRAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Leathernecks Cover

3.6%

Highlanders Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RAD -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)

WIU By 1-7 points

2.7%

WIU By 8-14 points

0.5%

RAD By 1-7 points

10.7%

RAD By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
62
WESTERN ILLINOIS
80
RADFORD
Simulated Score
68
WESTERN ILLINOIS
72
RADFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Highlanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Highlanders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Highlanders (-16) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Highlanders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.0 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u151.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 WIU @ RAD 75 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +12.9%
Radford: 81.9% vs Western Illinois: 69.0%
Blocks (L5) +55.7% more
Western Illinois: 4.2 vs Radford: 1.9
Turnovers (L5) +25.9% more
Western Illinois: 13.3 vs Radford: 9.8
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Western Illinois: 4.7 vs Radford: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIU Score 62.0 75
RAD Score 80.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 40.7 27.0 / 33.0
Assists 9.1 / 10.7 12.0 / 5.0
Blocks 1.9 / 4.2 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 48.4 53.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 81.9 / 69.0 65.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 30.8 / 37.1 30.0 / 32.0
Steals 3.8 / 4.7 4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 13.3 7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIU
5-26-0 (16.1%)
Margin: -11.9 ATS +/-: -5.3
RAD Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIU
11-17-0 (39.3%)
Margin: -11.9 ATS +/-: -5.3
RAD Advantage
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: -2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WIU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: -0.1
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RAD
WIU
RAD
WIU
ML
77% 23-7
45% 14-17
76% 22-7
61% 19-12
ATS
63% 19-11
52% 16-15
77% 23-7
61% 19-12
TTL
67% 20-10
45% 14-17
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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