Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Crusaders @ Friars HC @ PROV

HOLY CROSS

CRUSADERSHC

0-0  |  Road

79
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Amica Mutual Pavilion
View Odds Details →

PROVIDENCE

FRIARSPROV

0-0  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
📊
FRIARS
0%
CRUSADERS --
FRIARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PROVIDENCE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Providence)
CrusadersHC (-3.5) 0 FriarsPROV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Crusaders Cover

46.0%

Friars Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PROV -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PROV)

HC By 1-7 points

24.3%

HC By 8-14 points

13.7%

PROV By 1-7 points

26.2%

PROV By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
73
HOLY CROSS
74
PROVIDENCE
Simulated Score
55
HOLY CROSS
80
PROVIDENCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Friars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Friars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Friars (+24) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Friars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.0 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u153.0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 HC @ PROV 79 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +47.6% more
Providence: 5.4 vs Holy Cross: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5) +16.5%
Providence: 64.4% vs Holy Cross: 47.9%
Rebounding (L5) +13.7% more
Providence: 38.2 vs Holy Cross: 33.6
Assists (L5) +11.9% more
Providence: 14.2 vs Holy Cross: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HC Score 73.0 79
PROV Score 74.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 43.4 27.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.2 / 12.7 17.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.1 / 4.6 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 46.0 50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 64.4 / 47.9 74.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 38.2 / 33.6 42.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.4 / 3.7 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 13.4 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
PROV Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.2
PROV Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.3
PROV
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PROV
HC
PROV
HC
ML
59% 19-13
52% 16-15
67% 20-10
61% 19-12
ATS
50% 16-16
55% 17-14
67% 20-10
64% 21-12
TTL
44% 14-18
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Luke Loucks Opens Up on Recruiting, Offensive Rebounding, and Ro…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
NYT Mini Crossword Solutions for October 6: Tricky Clues Solved
cnet 2 days, 20 hours ago
Ashton Daniels Erupts for Five Rushing Scores as Florida State C…
headtopics 4 days, 19 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 5 days, 1 hour ago
Kentucky Fans Weigh In on Senate Bill That Could Transform Colle…
wkyt 5 days, 1 hour ago