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CHICAGO STATE

COUGARSCHST

0-0  |  Road

62
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Wintrust Arena
View Odds Details →

DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

0-0  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
📊
BLUE DEMONS
0%
COUGARS --
BLUE DEMONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (DePaul)
CougarsCHST (-3.5) 0 Blue DemonsDEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

1.8%

Blue Demons Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEP -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)

CHST By 1-7 points

1.4%

CHST By 8-14 points

0.2%

DEP By 1-7 points

6.8%

DEP By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
60
CHICAGO STATE
81
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
65
CHICAGO STATE
78
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Demons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Demons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Demons (+25) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Blue Demons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 CHST @ DEP 62 - 92
Dec 30, 2023 CHST @ DEP 58 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +42.6% more
DePaul: 14.4 vs Chicago State: 10.1
Rebounding (L5) +23.0% more
DePaul: 32.0 vs Chicago State: 26.0
Assists (L5) +11.5% more
DePaul: 12.9 vs Chicago State: 11.6
Steals (L5) +9.9% more
DePaul: 7.1 vs Chicago State: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHST Score 60.0 62
DEP Score 81.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 37.7 32.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.9 / 11.6 21.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.0 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 41.3 50.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 65.8 / 83.0 69.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 26.0 43.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.4 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 10.1 13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
90%MONEY10%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHST
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
DEP Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHST
15-15-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -10.3 ATS +/-: +0.4
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHST
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
CHST
DEP
CHST
ML
59% 19-13
75% 24-8
80% 24-6
73% 22-8
ATS
50% 16-16
69% 22-10
80% 24-6
73% 22-8
TTL
53% 17-15
44% 14-18
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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