FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
0-0 | Road
50
IOWA STATE
CYCLONESISU
0-0 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
CYCLONES
0%
KNIGHTS
--
CYCLONES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
IOWA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Iowa State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ISU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ISU)
FDU By 1-7 points
24.3%
FDU By 8-14 points
13.7%
ISU By 1-7 points
26.2%
ISU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
75
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Iowa State
76
IOWA STATE
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
62
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Iowa State
85
IOWA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cyclones
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cyclones
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cyclones (+37.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cyclones (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
FDU @ ISU
50 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+12.5% more
Iowa State: 14.0
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 12.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.0%
Iowa State: 38.6%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 28.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Iowa State: 51.4%
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 42.6%
Blocks (L5)
+12.5% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 3.0
vs
Iowa State: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
75.0
50
ISU Score
76.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 28.5
44.0 / 22.0
Assists
14.0 / 12.4
19.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.0
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.4 / 42.6
52.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
70.7 / 74.9
67.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 34.0
41.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.7
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 12.6
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
ISU
Advantage
29-8-0
(78.4%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
ISU
Advantage
22-14-1
(61.1%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
ISU
16-21-0
O: 43.2% / U: 56.8%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ISU
FDU
ISU
FDU
ML
57%
21-16
65%
20-11
76%
26-8
74%
23-8
ATS
62%
23-14
68%
21-10
76%
26-8
74%
23-8
TTL
54%
20-17
58%
18-13
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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