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TEXAS SOUTHERN

TIGERSTXSO

0-0  |  Road

43
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:00 PM ET
McCarthey Athletic Center
View Odds Details →

GONZAGA

BULLDOGSGONZ

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98
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
TIGERS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
171.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
GONZAGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Gonzaga)
TigersTXSO (-3.5) 0 BulldogsGONZ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

30.9%

Bulldogs Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GONZ -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GONZ)

TXSO By 1-7 points

18.6%

TXSO By 8-14 points

8.0%

GONZ By 1-7 points

27.2%

GONZ By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
83
TEXAS SOUTHERN
88
GONZAGA
Simulated Score
63
TEXAS SOUTHERN
92
GONZAGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+29.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 171.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 TXSO @ GONZ 43 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +43.7% more
Gonzaga: 19.4 vs Texas Southern: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5) +18.0%
Gonzaga: 83.6% vs Texas Southern: 65.5%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Gonzaga: 50.1% vs Texas Southern: 48.5%
Turnovers (L5) +40.8% more
Texas Southern: 16.2 vs Gonzaga: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TXSO Score 83.0 43
GONZ Score 88.0 98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 40.7 32.0 / 14.0
Assists 19.4 / 13.5 19.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.6 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.1 / 48.5 54.0 / 25.0
Free Throw % 83.6 / 65.5 81.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 38.0 56.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.8 / 7.6 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 16.2 13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
2%MONEY98%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TXSO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
GONZ Advantage
31-4-0 (88.6%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TXSO
9-19-0 (32.1%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
GONZ Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 18.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
GONZ
10-25-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GONZ
TXSO
GONZ
TXSO
ML
71% 25-10
64% 18-10
69% 20-9
71% 17-7
ATS
69% 24-11
61% 17-11
69% 20-9
71% 17-7
TTL
57% 20-15
71% 20-8
100% 29-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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