Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Greyhounds TOW @ L-MD

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

0-0  |  Road

67
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 9:00 PM ET
CFG Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

LOYOLA MARYLAND

GREYHOUNDSL-MD

0-0  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
GREYHOUNDS
100%
TIGERS --
GREYHOUNDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TigersTOW (-3.5) 0 GreyhoundsL-MD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

34.5%

Greyhounds Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)

TOW By 1-7 points

27.4%

TOW By 8-14 points

21.6%

L-MD By 1-7 points

20.1%

L-MD By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
73
TOWSON
69
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Simulated Score
68
TOWSON
72
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Greyhounds Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Greyhounds (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Greyhounds (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.0 Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u141.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 TOW @ L-MD 67 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Towson: 35.9 vs Loyola Maryland: 32.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Towson: 38.9% vs Loyola Maryland: 37.4%
Turnovers (L5) +32.2% more
Loyola Maryland: 11.6 vs Towson: 8.8
Assists (L5) +28.5% more
Loyola Maryland: 14.0 vs Towson: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOW Score 73.0 67
L-MD Score 69.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 38.9 18.0 / 27.0
Assists 14.0 / 10.9 5.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.5 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 45.3 34.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 63.5 / 64.6 72.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 35.9 29.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.0 / 5.7 5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 8.8 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
L-MD
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
L-MD Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
L-MD
TOW
L-MD
TOW
ML
53% 17-15
66% 21-11
66% 21-11
62% 20-12
ATS
56% 18-14
66% 21-11
66% 21-11
62% 20-12
TTL
44% 14-18
53% 17-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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