TEMPLE
TEMPLETEM
5-4 | Road
13
ARMY
ARMYARMY
4-4 | Home
14
Key Game
KEY GAME
Dante Atton
#7 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Dawson Jones
#95 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Dante Atton | None-None |
| Dawson Jones | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEMPLE
0%
ARMY
100%
TEMPLE
--
ARMY
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
23.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Temple)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TEM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)
TEM By 1-6 points
17.0%
TEM By 7-13 points
17.5%
ARMY By 1-6 points
15.3%
ARMY By 7-13 points
12.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Temple
13
TEMPLE
Army
10
ARMY
Simulated Score
Temple
17
TEMPLE
Army
21
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Temple
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Army
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Temple (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Sim
Army (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 23.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 38.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 25, 2026
ARMY @ TEM
21 - 17
Nov 8, 2025
TEM @ ARMY
13 - 14
Sep 26, 2024
ARMY @ TEM
42 - 14
Oct 21, 2017
TEM @ ARMY
28 - 31
Sep 2, 2016
ARMY @ TEM
28 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+73.9% more
Army: 240.8
vs
Temple: 138.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+12.0% more
Army: 0.4
vs
Temple: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEM Score
13.0
13
ARMY Score
10.0
14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
18.1 / 17.2
20.0 / 16.0
Rushing Yards
240.8 / 138.5
224.0 / 111.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.5 / 0.25
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.63 / 0.37
Total Yards
330.4 / 348.1
250.0 / 268.0
Turnovers
0.5 / 0.5
0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: +5.8
ARMY
Advantage
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 13.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM
Advantage
4-0-1
(100.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: +5.8
ARMY
1-2-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 13.5
ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
ARMY
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: +5.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
TEM
ARMY
TEM
ML
100%
4-0
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
ATS
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
TTL
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
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