MARYLAND
MARYLANDMD
4-4 | Road
20
RUTGERS
RUTGERSRUTG
4-5 | Home
35
Key Game
KEY GAME
Bryce McFerson
#34 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Jakob Anderson
#94 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Bryce McFerson | None-None |
| Jakob Anderson | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MARYLAND
0%
RUTGERS
100%
MARYLAND
--
RUTGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MD -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)
MD By 1-6 points
14.7%
MD By 7-13 points
19.7%
RUTG By 1-6 points
10.0%
RUTG By 7-13 points
6.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland
28
MARYLAND
Rutgers
17
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Maryland
20
MARYLAND
Rutgers
27
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Maryland
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rutgers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Maryland (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Sim
Rutgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
MD @ RUTG
20 - 35
Nov 16, 2024
RUTG @ MD
31 - 17
Nov 25, 2023
MD @ RUTG
42 - 24
Nov 26, 2022
RUTG @ MD
0 - 37
Nov 27, 2021
MD @ RUTG
40 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+62.4% more
Maryland: 2.4
vs
Rutgers: 0.9
Rushing Yards (L5)
+41.8% more
Rutgers: 116.5
vs
Maryland: 82.1
First Downs (L5)
+34.7% more
Rutgers: 20.7
vs
Maryland: 15.4
Total Yards (L5)
+19.6% more
Rutgers: 386.1
vs
Maryland: 322.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MD Score
28.0
20
RUTG Score
17.0
35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
20.7 / 15.4
25.0 / 14.0
Rushing Yards
116.5 / 82.1
256.0 / 305.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.67 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.4
0.58 / 0.42
Total Yards
386.1 / 322.8
485.0 / 403.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 2.4
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MD
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -7.1
RUTG
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: -7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MD
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -7.1
RUTG
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: -7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MD
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +6.5
RUTG
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +6.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
MD
RUTG
MD
ML
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
ATS
20%
1-4
0%
0-5
40%
2-3
0%
0-5
TTL
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
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